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Local regression of polling between Harris, Trump, Kennedy, West and Stein conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line is when Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee.
RealClearPolitics’ polling average, as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Aug. 19, shows Harris at 48.1%, with Trump at 46.7% percent—a +1.4 point margin in a head-to-head race. RCP also notes that on this ...
After a ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court, Colorado became the first state to disqualify former President Donald Trump from its primary ballot under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. Trump will remain on the ballot pending a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Trump v. Anderson. McLaughlin & Associates [55] December 13–19, 2023 454 (LV) – 4% 11%
Average Initial Approval Average Initial Disapproval Net Initial Approval Average Final Approval Average Final Disapproval Net Final Approval Initial to Final Change 46 Biden 57.5 37.5 +20 40 55.9 -15.9 -35.9 45 Trump 45 46 -1 41.1 56.1 -15 -14 44 Obama 68.5 12.5 +56 59 37 +22 -34 43 G. W. Bush 57 25 +32 34 61 -27 -59 42 Clinton 58 20 +38 66 29
Polling consolidated by FiveThirtyEight shows Harris with a nearly 3-point lead over Trump, RealClearPolitics has Harris leading by 1.5 points and Cook Political Report shows Harris has a less ...
Among voters who identify as Democrats or Democrat-leaning independents, Harris’ approval has jumped from 65% to 83%, while Trump's is at 79% among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
The mid 40s has, until now, been his ceiling; Trump won in 2016 with 46.1 percent of the vote and lost in 2020 with 46.8 percent of the vote. In nine of the 15 polls that make up the polling ...