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RealClearPolitics’ polling average, as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Aug. 19, shows Harris at 48.1%, with Trump at 46.7% percent—a +1.4 point margin in a head-to-head race. RCP also notes that on this ...
harris, trump hold dueling events in fight to win biggest battleground Vice President Kamala Harris has surged in approval ratings in the weeks since she assumed the head role in the Democratic Party.
In May, a quarter of American voters said they held both unfavorable views of Trump and Biden, but now with Harris in the race, that number has fallen to 14%. The poll was conducted from Aug. 5-11.
Local regression of polling between Harris, Trump, Kennedy, West and Stein conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line is when Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee.
Average Initial Approval Average Initial Disapproval Net Initial Approval Average Final Approval Average Final Disapproval Net Final Approval Initial to Final Change 46 Biden 57.5 37.5 +20 40 55.9 -15.9 -35.9 45 Trump 45 46 -1 41.1 56.1 -15 -14 44 Obama 68.5 12.5 +56 59 37 +22 -34 43 G. W. Bush 57 25 +32 34 61 -27 -59 42 Clinton 58 20 +38 66 29
44%. Actual result. 60.80%. 36.54%. Difference between actual result and final poll. +4.80%. -7.46%. After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical ...
The President, who currently has only a 37% approval rating, was losing to Trump in most polls before he dropped out of the race last month. Since then, Harris swiftly consolidated support among ...
In a 2023 Gallup poll measuring approval of recent former presidents during their time in office, Trump had a retrospective approval rating of 46%, which was second lowest among presidents, measuring only above Richard Nixon. Trump had 12% among Democrats, 41% among Independents, and 91% among Republicans.