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  2. Opinion polling for the 2024 Democratic Party presidential ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the...

    2028 →. v. t. e. This is a list of nationwide public opinion pollsthat have been conducted relating to the Democratic primariesfor the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

  3. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07)[1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion pollanalysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States.[2] Founder Nate Silverleft in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver ...

  4. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Since departing FiveThirtyEight, Silver has been publishing on his Substack blog Silver Bulletin. [3] Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in forty-nine of the fifty states in the 2008 U.S. presidential election. [4]

  5. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  6. Nate Silver expects ‘further decline ahead’ in Biden polls ...

    www.aol.com/news/nate-silver-expects-further...

    July 2, 2024 at 8:35 AM. Pollster Nate Silver, the founder of ABC’s FiveThirtyEight, said he expects to see “some further decline” in President Biden’s poll numbers, as post-debate surveys ...

  7. Trump is favored, but Biden can still win this election - AOL

    www.aol.com/trump-favored-biden-still-win...

    When I worked at FiveThirtyEight – my then-boss Nate Silver now has a model that looks similar to the current average – we gave Trump about a 30% chance of defeating Hillary Clinton on the eve ...

  8. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    As of the 2020 election, when there was an incumbent president running for re-election and key 3 was true, the president was re-elected on 17 of 25 occasions. Of the 16 open seat elections (when key 3 was false), the incumbent party was defeated on ten occasions (the exceptions were in 1868, 1876, 1880, 1908, 1928 and 1988).

  9. When is the next presidential debate, with Kamala Harris vs ...

    www.aol.com/next-presidential-debate-kamala...

    Samantha Neely and Joyce Orlando, USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida. July 30, 2024 at 1:25 PM. It has been a very eventful month following the first Presidential Debate between current President Joe ...