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The New York Times "FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus" commenced on August 25, 2010, with the publication of "New Forecast Shows Democrats Losing 6 to 7 Senate Seats". [50] From that date the blog focused almost exclusively on forecasting the outcomes of the 2010 U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives elections as well as ...
July 2, 2024 at 8:35 AM. Pollster Nate Silver, the founder of ABC’s FiveThirtyEight, said he expects to see “some further decline” in President Biden’s poll numbers, as post-debate surveys ...
The question is how many of them live and vote in each state. But when the winning margins are narrow — like they were in 2020 — local dynamics can make a difference. A few to watch between ...
Launched. March 7, 2008; 16 years ago. ( 2008-03-07) [ 1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to ...
Pollster Nate Silver’s election forecast now shows Vice President Harris narrowly leading former President Trump for the first time since the model launched. Harris tops Trump by 1.4 percentage ...
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
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Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.) said in a Sunday interview that pollster Nate Silver’s suggestion that President Biden leaves the presidential ticket is “ridiculous” at this stage in the ...