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RealClearPolitics’ polling average, as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Aug. 19, shows Harris at 48.1%, with Trump at 46.7% percent—a +1.4 point margin in a head-to-head race. RCP also notes that on this ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Harris’s support is up 10 points from what President Biden had last month, when Trump led him by 1 point (32 percent to 31 percent) among young voters. The vice president’s approval rating was ...
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
After a ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court, Colorado became the first state to disqualify former President Donald Trump from its primary ballot under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. Trump will remain on the ballot pending a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Trump v. Anderson. McLaughlin & Associates [55] December 13–19, 2023 454 (LV) – 4% 11%
The mid 40s has, until now, been his ceiling; Trump won in 2016 with 46.1 percent of the vote and lost in 2020 with 46.8 percent of the vote. In nine of the 15 polls that make up the polling ...
In a 2023 Gallup poll measuring approval of recent former presidents during their time in office, Trump had a retrospective approval rating of 46%, which was second lowest among presidents, measuring only above Richard Nixon. Trump had 12% among Democrats, 41% among Independents, and 91% among Republicans.
As of 12:00 p.m. ET, shares of Trump Media were down more than 7%. That followed a pre-market spike that sent shares briefly within sight of 52-week highs and a drop of as much as 14% following ...