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According to RealClearPolitics’ tracking of prediction markets and betting odds, Trump’s average expected probability of winning has dropped precipitously from its high of 66.2% on July 15 to ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Harris’s support is up 10 points from what President Biden had last month, when Trump led him by 1 point (32 percent to 31 percent) among young voters. The vice president’s approval rating was ...
Both candidates saw a +1 point increase from the same poll a week earlier, with Harris now at 46 percent and Trump at 44 percent. The Independent voters are still largely split on the two ...
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico ...
44%. Actual result. 60.80%. 36.54%. Difference between actual result and final poll. +4.80%. -7.46%. After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical ...
Why Democrats should (and shouldn’t) worry about Biden’s low poll numbers. Biden’s approval rating falls to lowest level this year. Wednesday 8 November 2023 20:00, Ariana Baio. President ...
The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. [ 1] Voters in each state and the District of Columbia will choose electors to the Electoral College, who will then elect a president and vice president for a term of four years.