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RealClearPolitics’ polling average, as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Aug. 19, shows Harris at 48.1%, with Trump at 46.7% percent—a +1.4 point margin in a head-to-head race. RCP also notes that on this ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
44%. Actual result. 60.80%. 36.54%. Difference between actual result and final poll. +4.80%. -7.46%. After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical ...
After a ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court, Colorado became the first state to disqualify former President Donald Trump from its primary ballot under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. Trump will remain on the ballot pending a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Trump v. Anderson. McLaughlin & Associates [55] December 13–19, 2023 454 (LV) – 4% 11%
The mid 40s has, until now, been his ceiling; Trump won in 2016 with 46.1 percent of the vote and lost in 2020 with 46.8 percent of the vote. In nine of the 15 polls that make up the polling ...
Trump himself spoke by video from New York, where he was on trial in his hush-money case at the time. Trump campaign co-chair Susie Wiles gave a presentation during a section titled “Winning the ...
Trump received a higher rating in only two countries: Russia and Israel. [276] In a 2018 Pew Research poll of 25 nations, the confidence in Trump rose to 27%. [277] In the 2019 poll, the confidence in Trump was at 29%. [278] In the September 2020 poll, the confidence in Trump decreased to 16%. [279]
Trump’s latest approval bump appears to have been driven by higher ratings among Republicans (94 percent, up 6 percentage points from the previous poll) and independents (42 percent, up 5 points).