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The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Allan Lichtman: The keys tap into how American presidential elections really work as votes up or down on the strength and performance of the White House party. They look at things like midterm ...
13 KEYS PREDICTION. Developed by Professor Allan Lichtman in 1981, The 13 Keys are statements that favor victory (in the popular vote count) for the incumbent party. When five or fewer statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the popular vote; when six or more are false, the challenging party is predicted to win the popular ...
The Keys to the White House: The Outlook for 2024. Allan J. Lichtman. readers of Social Education of my predicted presidential elec-tion results based on the Keys to the White House. The Keys are a historical-base. index system for predicting the results of American presidential elections that .
It’s a question that’s stumping even the most seasoned pundits. Luckily, American University's Distinguished Professor of History Allan Lichtman is offering a tried-and-true formula that has correctly predicted every presidential election outcome since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election.
The 13 Keys to the White House. Source: Allan J. Lichtman, The Keys to the White House (2005), post-2004 election ed. The Keys are statements that favour the reelection of the incumbent party. When five or fewer statements are false, the incumbent party wins. When six or more are false, the challenging party wins.
According to quantitative historian Allan Lichtman, Joe Biden will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Lichtman holds to this prediction regardless of what might happen during this obviously chaotic campaign.
Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian. He has taught at American University in Washington, D.C., since 1973. Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.
In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.
Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections, Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016.