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t. e. In the United States, the Electoral College is the group of presidential electors that is formed every four years during the presidential election for the sole purpose of voting for the president and vice president. The process is described in Article II of the U.S. Constitution. [ 1 ]
A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win. ... 538 collects the data from individual polls carried out both nationally and in battleground ...
Launched. March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07) [1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
Trump has a 58% chance at winning the 2024 presidential election, according to pollster Nate Silver’s model. AP. Silver’s model predicts that Harris has a 58.9% chance at winning the national ...
Silver's projections are a departure from other election forecasts, notably from Silver’s former company FiveThirtyEight, which as of Tuesday give Harris a 61% chance of winning the Electoral ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [edit] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Some polls have shown Harris ahead and others have had Trump leading in the race for the state's 15 Electoral College votes which will help determine the winner of the Nov. 5 election. But ...