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Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR 's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona , Georgia , Michigan , Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania , and Wisconsin .
G. ELLIOTT MORRIS. August 2, 2024 at 7:28 AM. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages. Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup ...
The latest poll from FiveThirtyEight, a website focusing on polling analysis, politics, economics, has Kamala Harris holding a slight lead over Donald Trump in a national poll on Monday. Harris ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago - Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and compared to two weeks ago - Harris 47.0% to Trump ...
2024. 2028 →. v. t. e. This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among ...
As of 1 p.m. Eastern, 538 has collected three national polls and one swing-state poll that were conducted since the debate.* In all of them, more people who watched the debate said Harris won the ...