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RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Jill Stein Green Cornel West Independent Chase Oliver Libertarian Others/ Undecided [m] Margin Race to the WH: through September 25, 2024 September 29, 2024 46.0% 48.4%: 0.7% — 1.3% 3.6% Trump +2.4%: 270toWin: September 23 – 27, 2024 ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple ...
According to Real Clear Polling, Democrat Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake by 8.2 points in RCP’s average of polls, with a spread, depending on the day and the polling firm, of between 4 ...
The Memo: Democrats fear Trump will outperform polls again. Niall Stanage. September 13, 2024 at 5:30 AM. Democrats who are in high spirits over Vice President Harris’s debate performance and ...
Tuesday’s mathematical milestone marks the point of no return for both parties — and a moment to consider the opportunities and challenges awaiting their nominees.
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
RCP also notes that on this day in 2016, Clinton led the polling averages by 6.0 points, and in 2020 Biden led by 7.4. National polls, however, don’t necessarily reflect the reality of how the ...