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  2. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    Prediction interval. In statistical inference, specifically predictive inference, a prediction interval is an estimate of an interval in which a future observation will fall, with a certain probability, given what has already been observed. Prediction intervals are often used in regression analysis . A simple example is given by a six-sided die ...

  3. Point of total assumption - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point_of_total_assumption

    The point of total assumption ( PTA) is a point on the cost line of the profit-cost curve determined by the contract elements associated with a fixed price plus incentive-Firm Target (FPI) contract above which the seller effectively bears all the costs of a cost overrun. The seller bears all of the cost risk at PTA and beyond, due to a dollar ...

  4. Mean time between failures - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_time_between_failures

    Overview. Mean time between failures (MTBF) describes the expected time between two failures for a repairable system. For example, three identical systems starting to function properly at time 0 are working until all of them fail. The first system fails after 100 hours, the second after 120 hours and the third after 130 hours.

  5. Moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving_average

    In statistics, a moving average ( rolling average or running average or moving mean[ 1] or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: simple, cumulative, or weighted forms. Mathematically, a moving average is a type of convolution.

  6. Forecast error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forecast_error

    Michael Fish - A few hours before the Great Storm of 1987 broke, on 15 October 1987, he said during a forecast: "Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way. Well, if you're watching, don't worry, there isn't!".

  7. Break-even point - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Break-even_point

    The Break-Even Point. The break-even point (BEP) in economics, business —and specifically cost accounting —is the point at which total cost and total revenue are equal, i.e. "even". In layman's terms, after all costs are paid for there is neither profit nor loss. [ 1][ 2] In economics specifically, the term has a broader definition; even if ...

  8. Basis point - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basis_point

    A related concept is one part per ten thousand, ⁠ 1 / 10,000 ⁠.The same unit is also (rarely) called a permyriad, literally meaning "for (every) myriad (ten thousand)". [4] [5] If used interchangeably with basis point, the permyriad is potentially confusing because an increase of one basis point to a 10 basis point value is generally understood to mean an increase to 11 basis points; not ...

  9. Sales variance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sales_variance

    Sales variance is the difference between actual sales and budgeted sales. [ 1 ] It is used to measure the performance of a sales function, and/or analyze business results to better understand market conditions. There are two reasons actual sales can vary from planned sales: either the volume sold varied from the expected quantity, known as ...