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Live betting odds on the 2024 presidential election, and more! Who will win? Biden, Trump, Harris, DeSantis?...
Dr. Marty Makary: Why America Has The World's Sickest, Most Over-Medicate Population. Mike Benz: Speedrunning The History Of The Intelligence State. Kamala Harris Giving First Network Interview To...
The midterms are here. Many people make confident predictions. But whom should we trust? ————To make sure you see the new weekly video from Stossel TV, sign...
No. 1: People who bet. No. 2: The media pundits. No. 3: Polls. No. 4: Professional election forecasters. Among forecasters, Nate Silver has the best track record. As I write, his FiveThirtyEight website gives Democrats a 55% chance to hold the Senate. The Economist’s forecasters give Democrats even better odds. But I don’t believe them.
A research scientist at Amazon concluded in the last presidential election, Election BettingOdds.com beat all other existing public prediction models except for Nate Silver’s polls-plus model.
No. 1: People who bet. No. 2: The media pundits. No. 3: Polls. No. 4: Professional election forecasters. Among forecasters, Nate Silver has the best track record. As I write, his FiveThirtyEight...
Your trusted source for the latest U.S. election polls and surveys, and the insights you need to understand the meaning behind the data. RealClearPolitics.com Election 2024