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In the chart, we see the global population growth rate per year. This is based on historical UN estimates and its medium projection to 2100. Global population growth peaked in the 1960s at over 2% per year. Since then, rates have more than halved, falling to less than 1%.
Population by country, available from 10,000 BCE to 2023, based on data and estimates from different sources. HYDE (2023); Gapminder (2022); UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
The chart shows that global population growth peaked in 1962 and 1963 with an annual growth rate of 2.2%; however, since then, world population growth has halved. 4 For the last half-century, the population growth rate has been declining.
Historical national accounts estimates of the share of the world's population living on less than $5 per day, by region; How do UN Population projections compare to the previous revision? Marriages per 1,000 people; Natural population growth with UN projections; Natural population growth rate vs. child mortality rate
In the chart, I’ve shown a range of these historical revisions, with their projections for the world population between 1970 and 2020. The UN’s latest population estimates – which is our closest estimate of the true population – are also shown for comparison.
As population growth continues to decline, the curve representing the world population is getting less and less steep. Towards the end of the century, the UN expects the global population to reach its peak at around 10.4 billion.
Population is represented by maps of total, urban, rural population and population density as well as built-up area. The period covered is 10 000 BCE to 2023 CE. Spatial resolution is 5 arc minutes (approx. 85 km2 at the equator), the files are in ESRI ASCII grid format.
Since 2019, the global population growth rate has fallen below 1%. That’s less than half its peak growth rate – of 2.3% – in the 1960s. As global fertility rates continue to fall (see below), this rate will continue to fall.
Historical national accounts estimates of the share of the world's population living on less than $5 per day, by region; How do UN Population projections compare to the previous revision? Marriages per 1,000 people; Natural population growth with UN projections; Natural population growth rate vs. child mortality rate
In its 2022 publication, the UN estimated that, in its medium scenario, the global population would peak in 2086 at around 10.4 billion people. This year’s edition brings this peak forward slightly to 2084, with the population topping at just under 10.3 billion. The chart below compares the two revisions.