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The aggregate data shows a steady rise for Harris following the debate. On Sept. 10, she had a 2.5% lead over Trump. According to ABC News, which partners with FiveThirtyEight, Americans ...
An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the White House. ... news network ABC News. To create them, 538 collects the data from individual polls ...
March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07) [1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website ...
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
The latest poll from FiveThirtyEight, a website focusing on polling analysis, politics, economics, has Kamala Harris holding a slight lead over Donald Trump in a national poll on Monday. Harris ...
The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.