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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls,...
Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast. All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris. đź•’ Last update: 1:15 p.m., Thursday, October 3. The forecast is still in a steady phase. We’ve gotten a few new polls since yesterday’s update but there’s very little movement in the model from day to day.
Latest updates. Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 56-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral...
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Since then, Silver, a political pollster and founder of FiveThirtyEight, released data showing vice president Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump in the national polling average by ...
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
Silver, a renowned polling expert, statistician, and author of the “Silver Bulletin,” has the odds of Harris winning at 53% and Trump at 47%, which he notes, “is awfully close to 50-50.”
Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election. August 27, 2024. Top two runoffs are required in 10 state legislative districts where no candidate received a majority in the June 18 primary.
Prognosticator Nate Silver on Tuesday shared dat a that showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in the national polls average by almost three full percentage...
By Nate Silver. The biggest day so far in the race for the Republican presidential nomination — 11 states weigh-in — could solidify Mitt Romney’s grip on the nomination or upend the contest....